Pre-tourney Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#205
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#168
Pace70.5#138
Improvement+2.1#86

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#205
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+1.2#116

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#205
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.9#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 272   Lafayette W 67-65 74%     1 - 0 -7.5 -4.8 -4.8
  Nov 12, 2017 27   @ Louisville L 61-72 6%     1 - 1 +4.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Nov 16, 2017 303   Binghamton W 69-57 80%     2 - 1 +0.6 -5.7 -5.7
  Nov 18, 2017 327   Cal St. Northridge W 78-73 OT 86%     3 - 1 -9.1 -7.1 -7.1
  Nov 21, 2017 160   Louisiana Tech L 64-77 38%     3 - 2 -12.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 22, 2017 82   Fresno St. L 73-79 19%     3 - 3 +0.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Nov 29, 2017 226   @ James Madison W 76-72 43%     4 - 3 +3.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Dec 03, 2017 15   @ Auburn L 63-79 4%     4 - 4 +1.7 +8.9 +8.9
  Dec 06, 2017 159   William & Mary L 70-77 49%     4 - 5 -9.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 09, 2017 314   NC Central W 77-65 82%     5 - 5 -0.5 -6.3 -6.3
  Dec 12, 2017 152   Georgia Southern L 51-74 48%     5 - 6 -25.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 17, 2017 28   Penn St. L 54-72 14%     5 - 7 -8.9 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 22, 2017 325   Morgan St. W 86-79 85%     6 - 7 -6.6 -6.8 -6.8
  Dec 30, 2017 50   @ Rhode Island L 64-83 8%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -6.2 +6.4 +6.4
  Jan 03, 2018 195   @ Massachusetts W 80-72 OT 37%     7 - 8 1 - 1 +8.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 07, 2018 53   Davidson L 59-86 19%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -20.4 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 10, 2018 110   Saint Joseph's W 81-79 35%     8 - 9 2 - 2 +3.3 +0.6 +0.6
  Jan 13, 2018 134   Saint Louis W 86-81 44%     9 - 9 3 - 2 +3.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 17, 2018 176   @ George Washington L 68-80 32%     9 - 10 3 - 3 -9.8 +1.1 +1.1
  Jan 20, 2018 191   @ Duquesne L 89-95 2OT 36%     9 - 11 3 - 4 -4.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Jan 27, 2018 129   Virginia Commonwealth L 76-84 43%     9 - 12 3 - 5 -8.9 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 31, 2018 67   St. Bonaventure L 69-85 23%     9 - 13 3 - 6 -11.1 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 03, 2018 164   @ Richmond W 79-75 28%     10 - 13 4 - 6 +7.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 07, 2018 278   @ Fordham L 66-67 55%     10 - 14 4 - 7 -4.9 -1.9 -1.9
  Feb 10, 2018 176   George Washington W 72-65 55%     11 - 14 5 - 7 +3.1 -1.9 -1.9
  Feb 14, 2018 158   Dayton W 85-67 49%     12 - 14 6 - 7 +15.6 -1.2 -1.2
  Feb 17, 2018 151   @ La Salle L 62-69 26%     12 - 15 6 - 8 -3.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 21, 2018 110   @ Saint Joseph's W 79-76 17%     13 - 15 7 - 8 +10.3 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 24, 2018 195   Massachusetts W 78-76 OT 60%     14 - 15 8 - 8 -3.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Feb 28, 2018 129   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 81-80 23%     15 - 15 9 - 8 +6.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Mar 03, 2018 164   Richmond L 79-93 50%     15 - 16 9 - 9 -16.7 -1.3 -1.3
  Mar 08, 2018 195   Massachusetts W 80-75 48%     16 - 16 +2.8 -1.1 -1.1
  Mar 09, 2018 110   Saint Joseph's L 49-68 25%     16 - 17 -14.7 +2.2 +2.2
Projected Record 16.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%